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Now is the time for foreign investors to act

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Foreign buyers should get on with investing in the UK property sector, now there’s more certainty regarding whether the UK will leave the UK.

That’s the view of Patrick Alvarado, director of Knightsbridge estate agency Nicolas Van Patrick.

He said: “Foreign buyers who might have hoped for a further reduction in prices and the currency should we have woken up to a hung parliament or Jeremy Corbyn victory will realise this is no longer an option and those wishing to buy will also get on with it.

“We have already seen Sterling strengthen this morning against all major currencies and although most foreign buyers have probably already done their foreign exchange trades in anticipation of a purchase, those who haven’t will be doing so to avoid a less favourable exchange rate.”

Before the election the Conservatives said foreign investors would be subject to a additional 3% stamp duty surcharge, so buyers may look to invest before this comes into force.

However Roarie Scarisbrick, partner at Property Vision, cautioned that issues with the housing market still remain.

He said: “I’m sure all my friends in agency will be quick off the mark to predict a new bull run in our markets and while this is definitely good news, because a different result would have been very damaging, buyers launching themselves into the market today will soon be reminded that stamp duty is still cripplingly expensive and we are about to be hit with yet another 3% surcharge for foreign buyers which will hit central London hard.

“So while we will be busy with buyers who have been sitting on their hands for a while, and transactions will pick up, the structural issues in the market remain the same and boom time is unlikely.

“Also, vendors will feel strengthened by this so I expect a period of adjustment where buyers and sellers try to work out what this means.

“Sellers will be rubbing their hands with glee today but I don’t think this is a time to get greedy because again the issues remain the same and there are still choppy waters to cross with Brexit and stamp duty.”

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Buy-to-let rates to fall

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The cost of fixed rate Brexit buy-to-let mortgages are set to fall now the Conservatives have been elected, according to online mortgage broker Property Master.

The monthly cost of fixed rate buy-to-let mortgages have fallen across all categories compared to the same time last December – in some instances by as much as £38 per month for the average mortgage.

But before last week’s Conservative victory this downward trend was stalling.

Angus Stewart, chief executive of Property Master, said: “Now that the uncertainty created by last week’s General Election has ended and as we appear to be moving more swiftly toward Brexit at the end of January, we believe there is every chance rates will fall still further.

“Firstly, the Conservative victory, even before it happened, strengthened the pound so removing one factor that could have encouraged the Bank of England to increase rates.

“Secondly, two members of the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee voted for lower rates last time around which makes us think downward is more likely to be the next movement in the base rate. The stars are aligned for lower mortgage rates for hard-pressed landlords in the New Year.”

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Rightmove predicts 2% price rise in 2020

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Property prices should rise by 2% in 2020 now the Conservative Party has secured a majority, Rightmove has forecast.

It added that sellers’ pricing power will be enhanced by a lack of choice for potential buyers, with the proportion of estate agent stock that is available for purchase at its lowest for over two years.

Miles Shipside, Rightmove director and housing market analyst, said: “The greater certainty afforded by a majority government gives an opportunity for a more active spring moving season, with some release of several years of pent-up demand.

“Given the Brexit track record to date, further political twists and turns should not be ruled out, though with a large majority there is a higher possibility of an end to the series of Brexit deadlines, and the prospect of an orderly resolution.

“Rightmove measures the prices of 95% of property coming to market, and we predict that buyers and sellers will on average see a 2% rise in those prices by the end of 2020.
“While this is over twice the current annual rate of 0.8%, it’s still a relatively marginal increase as it’s a price-sensitive market.”

Shipside added that there will be regional variations.

London is apparently showing tentative signs of bottoming out, while a more modest of increase of 1% is expected in Southern regions.

Sales numbers agreed so far in 2019 are down by 3% on 2018, while number of properties coming to market have fallen by 8%.

Josef Wasinski, co-founder of Wayhome, said: “Aspiring homeowners will be waiting to see how their route to homeownership might be impacted by the new government.

“A whole host of political issues and challenges face the Prime Minister and high on the agenda should be the homeownership crisis – which is a chronic problem.

“The reality for many is that buying a home is only possible with the help of friends and family.

“Thousands of reluctant renters will continue to be ignored without radical change from the Conservative party and we welcome any efforts to address this long-standing issue.”

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Top UK regeneration hotspots unveiled

Top UK regeneration hotspots unveiledWhen it comes to investing in property, it pays to know about the latest property hotspots and up-and-coming areas whether you are buying-to-let or simply looking for capital growth.

Buying at the early stages of a long-term plan offers good potential for an increase in property values and solid rental returns. So where potentially are the best spots to invest for the long-term?

Research by Glide, broadband and utilities provider , has identified 10 areas where properties offer the potential for a regeneration price growth premium in addition to average values in the local area.

The company made a series of FOI requests to local councils in order to find the number of empty dwellings and commercial properties across the UK.

Collectively, across both categories of building, in the month of September 2019 there were 617,527 empty buildings across the UK.

Of those councils which held the information, Birmingham was revealed as the leading council area for the most potential space, with 8,086 residential properties and 7,622 commercial buildings in the city and its suburbs being empty.

Second is Liverpool, where 15,339 buildings are currently not occupied, while regions across the North dominate the top five, with Manchester, Leeds and Bradford also ranking highly.

Empty residential properties Empty commercial properties  Total
1 Birmingham City Council 8086 7622 15,708
2 Liverpool City Council 11073 4266 15,339
3 Manchester City Council 10531 4003 14,534
4 Leeds City Council 8331 4528 12,859
5 Bradford Metropolitan Council 2610 7908 10,518
6 Durham County Council 7330 1573 8,903
7 Bristol City Council 6403 1742 8,145
8 Cheshire West and Chester 5860 1897 7,757
9 Sheffield City Council 5063 2610 7,673
10 Cornwall Council 5795 1662 7,457

Jason Lloyd, head of residential at Glide, said: “The research has revealed the high number of empty properties and businesses across the UK, particularly across some of the major northern Council areas.

“But whilst it is troubling to see so much wasted residential and commercial space, it does represent a clear opportunity for developers, and hopefully this study will help prospective investors pinpoint where there is the most potential for growth.”

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Improving communication with your tenants

Improving communication with your tenants When investing in the buy-to-let sector it is important to have a good relationship with your tenants, and that often requires good communication.

If you communicate well, both parties will understand their responsibilities, know that the other is keeping to theirs, and the tenancy will typically run more smoothly, which is what is required if you are looking to keep a tenant in your property on a long-term basis.

Neil Cobbold, chief operating officer of PayProp UK, commented: “If tenants are clear on what to expect, they are more likely to be satisfied and stay in the property for longer – at least as long as those expectations are then met. This can help reduce arrears and void periods for letting agents and landlords.”

According to PayProp, providing better information to renters about what they should expect from landlords and letting agents can ensure greater customer satisfaction.

The lettings payment automation provider says that educating tenants on the roles and expectations of each party can reduce confusion – and also reduce the chance of disputes.

But with research by the National Landlords Association (NLA) revealing four out five – 79% – tenants require better information on the roles and responsibilities of landlords and letting agents, clearly more needs to be done in this area.

Cobbold commented: “Proactively educating tenants on the rental process from the outset can save agents time from having to mediate unnecessary disputes between landlords and tenants.

“Some key areas where tenants may lack understanding relate to financial obligations and property upkeep. It’s very important to make sure tenants are kept informed throughout the tenancy. Often tenants are set wondering: ‘Has my rent been received?’, ‘How much do I owe?’, ‘Is my deposit safe?’, ‘Is it my responsibility?’ and ‘Who pays for repair work?’”

The How to Rent guide is a valuable resource, and yet a study by the NLA found that 67% of almost 900 tenants surveyed said that they were not aware of the government’s How to Rent guide which is a legal obligation for them to receive one at the start of a tenancy designed to help them understand their rights and responsibilities.

Cobbold continued: “Agents could do more to promote the How to Rent guide to consumers. It’s a free government resource that is updated regularly and includes a lot the information renters may need,” he explains.

“By making sure tenants not only read but understand this guide, letting agencies can manage expectations from the outset of a tenancy and save time and money on creating their own educational materials.”

Aside from promoting the How to Rent guide, letting agents and indeed landlords could take additional steps to help educate tenants and improve renter satisfaction.

Cobbold adds that key lease terms such as payment dates, tenancy lengths and notice periods should all be set out in a clear and accessible manner so tenants know what is expected of them and when.

He added: “A concerted effort from agencies and landlords to provide renters with more clarity could make for a more harmonious and efficient private rented sector.”

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House price growth set to pick up speed following an end to the political gridlock

House price growth set to pick up speed following an end to the political gridlockResidential property prices, much like the economy, are likely to grow faster than initially anticipated next year thanks to the greater political certainty unlocked by the Conservative Party’s decisive election victory last week, according to Rightmove.

The property website forecasts that average asking prices will increase by 2% in 2020, up from the existing annual rate of 0.8%, thanks to low-interest rates, high employment, rising wages, greater political clarity, and a widening supply-demand imbalance.

Rightmove’s December House Price Index notes that the number of sales agreed so far in 2019 is 3% lower than a year earlier, but the number of properties coming to market has dropped far more significantly by 8%, with estate agents’ stock levels at a two-year low.

Property price growth is expected to be led by northern areas, with Rightmove expecting to see an increase of between 2% and 4%.

In the south, which is generally more expensive, a more modest 1% growth rate is anticipated.

Miles Shipside, Rightmove director and housing market analyst, commented: “Home-mover confidence and activity have been dogged by political uncertainty since the 2016 referendum.

“With a clear majority in the election, there is now an opportunity to release some of the pent-up demand in the spring, and for some modest upwards price movement.

“Given the Brexit track record to date, further political twists and turns should not be ruled out, though with a large majority there is a higher possibility of an end to the series of Brexit deadlines, and the prospect of an orderly resolution.”

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NLA urges new government to introduce housing court and reform Section 8

Image result for nlaThe National Landlords’ Association (NLA) has once again called for the introduction of a properly funded housing court to cope with proposed regulatory changes and speed up repossession cases.

According to the Ministry of Justice, it currently takes private landlords an average of 22.6 weeks from making a repossession claim to the courts to it actually happening, which suggests the existing system is inadequate.

With the new Boris Johnson-led Conservative government expected to end the use of Section 21 repossessions in the private rented sector the number of repossession cases going through the courts is set to increase dramatically, and that is why the landlord association believes that the introduction of a new housing court would help speed up and improve justice for landlords and tenants.

The NLA also wants to see the government reform Section 8 evictions to end the logjam of repossession cases that will follow the scrapping of Section 21 evictions, as part of its pre-election promise to strengthen landlords’ rights of possession by reforming the law courts.

If this does not happen, the NLA fears that there could be a crisis in the PRS, owed in part to a major reduction in the number of homes available for rent and a disproportionately negative impact on the supply of housing for people receiving state benefits.

NLA-commissioned analysis carried out recently by Capital Economics using the organisation’s most recent members survey found that if the government abolishes Section 21 without additional reforms, the supply of private rented houses in England would fall by 20%, or 960,000 dwellings, because landlords would sell-off their rented properties to house buyers rather than other landlords.

It adds that there would be a 59% drop in the number of private rented dwellings available to households which claim local housing allowance or universal credit – 770,000 fewer dwellings – because landlords would choose not to rent their property to people with an unreliable record on paying their rent.

In addition, the number of homes facing rental increases would amount to 600,000 homes, which is 13% of the sector, because the reduced supply of rented housing would force up rental costs

Richard Lambert, the NLA’s chief executive, said: “We congratulate Boris Johnson on his return to No. 10 Downing Street as prime minister of a new Conservative government. We now stand ready to work with him and his team on the reform of housing regulations in a way that does not do long term damage to the supply of private rented housing.”

“No-one should be in any doubt about the dire consequences for the supply of private rented housing in this country if the government abolishes Section 21 without any effort to reform the law courts and strengthen landlords’ rights of possession. There would be nearly 1 million fewer houses available for rent and the people who would be hardest hit would be some of the most vulnerable in our society: those in receipt of state benefits.”

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Rental reform: The government must act to ‘have the full confidence of landlords’

Rental reform: The government must act to ‘have the full confidence of landlords’ The Residential Landlords Association (RLA) is calling on the government to ensure that reforms are made to the way good landlords can repossess properties in legitimate circumstances.

The new Conservative government has pledged to end Section 21 repossessions in the rental market.

The party also pledged to strengthen the rights of good landlords to repossess properties when they have good cause to do so, and that is something that is urgentlly needed sooner rather than later according to the RLA.

The group is calling on ministers to ensure that the new framework provides comprehensive grounds upon which landlords can repossesses properties in cases such as anti-social behaviour and tenant rent arrears, with guarantees about the timeframes involved for each and measures to prevent abuses by problem tenants.

The RLA also wants this to be underpinned by developing a dedicated, properly funded housing court to ensure considerable improvements to the time taken to rule on, and enforce, possession cases.

David Smith, policy director for the RLA, commented: “We look forward to working constructively with the government as it develops its plans for the private rented sector.

“With the demand for rented housing remaining strong it is vital that the Conservatives’ plans for the sector, whilst being fair to tenants, have the full confidence of landlords.

“The election should also be seen as an outright rejection of Labour’s plans for rent controls. They would have undermined investment in the sector, choked off supply and made it more difficult for tenants to find the good quality homes to rent they need.”

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Significant drop in properties to let placing upward pressure on rents

Significant drop in properties to let placing upward pressure on rentsRents are forecast to see strong growth over the next five years, according to the latest residential property forecast from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS).

With demand from tenants gathering pace, at a time when there has been a sharp decline in the number of new properties for renting, the trade body forecasts that national rents will rise by about 15% between now and mid-2024.

With tenant demand continuing to rise, RICS forecasts that rents will increase by around 2% over the next 12 months and about 3% annually over the next five years.

The latest Residential Market Survey by RICS for November shows a net balance of -29% of surveyors reporting a fall in landlord instructions which is twice the negative rating in November 2018.

A separate study recently conducted by the Residential Landlords Association (RLA) found that there has been a sharp rise in the number of landlords exiting the buy-to-let market, which largely explains why there has been a fall in the supply of properties to rent.

David Smith, policy director for the RLA, commented: “If the decline in the supply of new homes to rent continues to fall whilst demand is still rising, this is going to lead to a crisis in some areas as tenants desperately search for somewhere to live. This is all the result of increased taxation and other measures over the last three years and the result has been highly predictable as we said it would be.

“The new government needs to urgently address the problem and make changes in the forthcoming budget to relieve the pressure on landlords and encourage new investment to meet the demand.”

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December National Market Update

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Millions across the country start the countdown to Christmas by opening their advent doors each day, but who knows which party will be behind the door of number 10 Downing Street. Time is ticking to the first December election in nearly a century. The housing market has remained remarkably resilient in a year that has been dominated by Brexit and annual price growth remains in positive territory across much of the country.

Download the full report HERE.