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Soaring distressed property firms are ‘just tip of large iceberg’

Soaring distressed property firms are ‘just tip of large iceberg’

Despite the booming housing market the whole property sector – a key indicator of the economy’s performance – has seen 11,000 additional businesses enter significant distress in the past three months.

In total there are over 53,000 property businesses classified this way.

The figure – from corporate business recovery service Begbies Traynor – is 39 per cent up on late 2019.

Construction businesses have also seen an impact, despite activity being able to continue during lockdowns. There are now 80,018 construction businesses in significant distress, a year-on-year increase of 27 per cent.

A company classed as being in ‘significant distress’ is one with minor county court judgements of less than £5,000 filed against them, or which have been identified by Red Flag Alert’s credit risk scoring system which screens companies for a sustained or marked deterioration.

Across the economy as a whole some 630,000 businesses are now in significant distress – there were increases in the past three months in all 22 sectors analyses by Begbies Traynor.

But the company warns: “However, it is likely that these figures are the tip of a very large iceberg. The pandemic has reduced court activity limiting the number of CCJs and winding up petitions being issued against indebted companies and there has been a ban on winding up petitions for Covid-related debts.”

Julie Palmer, partner at Begbies Traynor, says: “These figures give an insight into some of the financial stresses that have been building in UK business. Without the financial aid and support measures that the government has put in place during the pandemic insolvency levels would have been much higher, however the sad truth is that for many companies this will provide little more than a stay of execution as debt levels become unmanageable and structural changes across many sectors take their toll.

“The announcement of the latest national lockdown will do little to help and even the Chancellor has reiterated that he cannot save every business. And the harsh reality is that the government will have to be ruthless when handing out rescue funds, because not all businesses will be sustainable, even when the flood waters subside.

“Although the government has extended its Covid-19 financial support, this simply won’t be enough for thousands of businesses who likely will not survive in the interim. Although the UK’s announcement of a trade deal with the EU and the roll-out of Covid-19 vaccines offer some light at the end of a very dark tunnel, the situation is going to remain bleak over the next quarter and beyond.”

Meanwhile redundancies – both actual and predicted – continue to mount across the wider economy.

Employers planning to cut 20 or more staff have to notify the Insolvency Service of their plans ahead of the redundancies actually happening. These notifications give an earlier indication of the state of the labour market than data published by the Office for National Statistics, which appear with a time lag of a few months.

Insolvency Service figures showed record levels in redundancies in June and July, which was confirmed when the ONS published its own figures three months later. The latest data, for the period from August to October, saw a record 370,000 redundancies across the UK.

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Stamp Duty Holiday: Did market need it? Have buyers really benefitted?

Stamp Duty Holiday: Did market need it? Have buyers really benefitted?

A leading analyst is questioning whether buyers have benefitted from the stamp duty holiday because demand has purshed up prices far beyond the savings possible.

Anthony Codling – the former Jefferies analyst who now leads PropTech platform Twindig – says London provides a good example, but is by no means the only location where buyers may not have benefitted.

Land Registry data shows that the average house price in London passed the £500,000 mark in November 2020.

“House prices in London have risen by 9.7 per cent over the last 12 months compared to an average increase in house prices across England of 7.6 per cent. In absolute monetary terms, this translates to an average increase of £45,241 in London and £18,875 in England” says Codling.

That means that in both London specifically and England generally, the increase in the past 12 months exceeds the largest potential stamp duty saving of £15,000. Indeed, in the month of November alone, house prices in London overall rose by 4.0 per cent or £19,698.

In one location, Ealing in the west of the capital, the price rise was 11.2 per cent or an average of £52,083.

While there have been exceptions in London – the City of London and City of Westminster boroughs have both seen price falls in the past year – Codling’s analysis shows that 21 of the 34 London boroughs have seen increases over £15,000 in the past year.

A separate recent analysis by Codling expresses doubt over whether buyers elsewhere in the UK have materially benefitted from the stamp duty holiday, which still have around 10 weeks to run.

“For a house costing £200,000, the saving is £1,500 and for the average UK house price – which according to Nationwide was £230,920 in December 2020 – the Stamp Duty Holiday saving would be £2,120 or less than one per cent of the purchase price.

“…The [maximum] £15,000 saving is often the figure which gets the headlines, but for most, the Stamp Duty Holiday saving will be considerably less … We can see that housing transactions are clustered around the £175,000 price point.”

“Just under 12 per cent of housing transactions will save the maximum £15,000, which is at most a saving of three per cent of the purchase price. With the saving capped at £15,000 as the purchase price rises above £500,000 the relative saving decreases.”

Codling’s analysis follows data from HM Revenue & Customs, recording 129,400 sales in December 2020 – 31.5 per cent higher than December 2019 and 13.1 per cent higher than in November 2020.

This marked the strongest December for house sales in the past decade and the first time since 2015 that sales topped 100,000 in December. The provisional HMRC data takes overall 2020 transactions to 1,041,610 – that’s only 11 per cent lower than in 2019, despite the market being closed for several weeks during the spring.

Codling concludes: “This is an astonishing result given the global pandemic and further evidence that a stamp duty holiday is not required, in my view.”

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RICS in dramatic U-turn after newspaper allegations

RICS finance controversy: Surveyors’ chief insists action is being taken

The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors last night announced a dramatic U-turn in the controversy over a report by an independent accountancy firm.For weeks the institution has been the subject of allegations, chiefly in the Sunday Times, about alleged failures by RICS senior figures to act on the report by accountancy firm BDO, which said two years ago that RICS was at risk of “unidentified fraud, misappropriation of funds and misreporting of financial performance.”

BDO’s report gave the lowest possible “no assurance” rating for the effectiveness of RICS’ financial controls.

The newspaper allegations also claimed that four RICS non-executive directors who wanted the organisation to act on the report’s concerns had their appointments terminated. Shortly afterwards RICS made some 140 people redundant while Sean Tompkins – chief executive of RICS since 2010 – was paid £510,000 including £250,000 in bonuses.

Estate Agent Today and other media outlets were last week given a quote by RICS president Kathleen Fontana saying: “At this point in time, it is not governing council’s judgement that external, further independent external scrutiny is needed.”

However, now there appears got be a 180-degree U-turn.

Yesterday, according to a new statement from RICS, the governing council “voted unanimously to proceed with an independent review into the events that took place in 2018/19, the outcome of which will be made public.”

The statement continues: “Having listened to the views of members in recent weeks, and appreciating their need for further reassurance, governing council has decided to appoint an experienced, fully independent individual to undertake the review according to terms of reference which it will set.”

The statement does not identify who that individual will be.

And the statement goes on: “Separately, over the course of the last year we have been reviewing engagement and governance. Members have recently raised a wide range of issues and we would like to thank everyone who contacted us with their views and ideas.

“Having considered all inputs very carefully, governing council has decided to widen the scope of the current work relating to governance and engagement, and undertake a comprehensive review looking at the ongoing purpose and relevance of RICS in 2021 and beyond. It will examine a range of issues including member experience and engagement.

“We know that members will be keen to hear more and further information will be made available soon as to how all members can contribute to shaping the future of RICS.”

And in yet another statement last evening, the RICS government council interim chair Christopher Brooke, chief executive Sean Tompkins and president Kathleen Fontana jointly stated: “We welcome this important decision taken by governing council and lend our wholehearted support to the implementation of an independent review.

“We have listened to our members carefully, and we are confident that decisions agreed by governing council today are in the best interests of RICS and its members.”

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990 Year Leases Announced in Leasehold Law Shakeup

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Plans are afoot for millions of leaseholders in England to be given the right to extend their leases by 990 years while paying £0 ground rent, the Housing Secretary Robert Jenrick has announced in a move described as being one of ‘the biggest reforms to English property law for 40 years’.

The Government says the planned reforms – which are based on recommendations made by the Law Commission – are set to save leaseholders £1,000s if not £10,000s.

What’s Going to Change?

These latest changes (once brought into law) would mean both house and flat leaseholders will be able to extend their lease to last for 990 years with a ground rent of £zero.

A cap will also be introduced on ground rent payable when a leaseholder chooses to either extend their lease or become the freeholder. Furthermore, an online calculator will be introduced to make it simpler for leaseholders to find out how much it will cost them to buy their freehold or extend their lease.

The government also plans to abolish ‘marriage value’ charges. Marriage value is the additional market value of a property when it has a longer lease. As the freeholder grants any lease extensions, any increase in the property value (from a lease extension) currently has to be shared equally between the freeholder and leaseholder. So, at the moment, leaseholders are under pressure to extend their lease before it falls below 80 years in length when they become liable to pay ‘marriage value’ on top of the costs of the lease extension as this can be costly with properties having shorter lease terms being harder to sell.

The Government is also proposing further measures to protect the elderly and retirees that will not only restrict ground rents to zero for new leases but also for leasehold properties built specifically for older people, so purchasers of these homes have the same rights as other homeowners.

Leaseholders will also be able to voluntarily agree to a restriction on the future development of their property to avoid paying ‘development value’, which is a premium usually placed on property leasehold or freehold values if the property in question has the potential to go up in value, for example by adding another floor, like a penthouse.

Housing Secretary Rt Hon Robert Jenrick MP said: “Across the country, people are struggling to realise the dream of owning their own home but find the reality of being a leaseholder far too bureaucratic, burdensome and expensive.

We want to reinforce the security that homeownership brings by changing forever the way we own homes and end some of the worst practices faced by homeowners.”

The Current Leasehold Rules

Under the current rules, leaseholders have to pay annual ground rents to the freeholder (or landlord) who owns the building that is being leased. Leaseholders may also have to pay maintenance fees, annual service charges and their share of the building’s insurance (if required under the lease agreement) as well as paying for any mortgage they might have taken out to purchase the lease on the property. Furthermore, as leaseholders don’t own the property outright, they often have to obtain permission from the freeholders to carry out major works.

The freeholder is usually responsible for the upkeep of the land the property sits on and the structure of the building (such as the roof and external walls) and sometimes the shared parts of the building such as lifts, stairways and communal gardens ­– and these costs can add up. So, they would argue that their current fees and ground rents are reasonable.

Ground rents are generally fixed for a certain number of years when the lease is purchased, meaning freeholders are then free to increase the ground rent following the fixed-rate period and this can lead to unexpected cost increases for the leaseholders. Higher ground rents can also make the lease less attractive to potential buyers if the leaseholder wants to sell up.

Leaseholders of flats currently have a lot more certainty than leaseholders of houses, as they can extend their lease at a zero ‘peppercorn’ ground rent as often as they like, but usually only for a period of 90 years while homeowner leaseholders have to pay ground rent and faced higher charges when trying to renew their leases, which can only be extended for 50 years, and only once. So, these proposed new changes will make a huge difference to leaseholders of houses.

Further Proposed Changes – Commonhold Ownership

The government also says it plans to introduce the commonhold ownership model, which is widely used around the world and allows homeowners to own their property on a freehold basis, giving them greater control over the costs of homeownership. Blocks are jointly owned and managed, meaning when someone buys a flat or a house, it is truly theirs and any decisions about its future are theirs too.

What Does All This Mean for Freeholders?

Of course, if all of the proposals come into force, property freeholders such as private landlords, housing associations, local authorities and developers could lose £millions.

In fact, investors who own shares in ground rent income funds have already seen falls in their share values on the back of this news.

Despite this fact, there doesn’t appear to be too much public response from freeholders since the announcement last week, but they are expected to fight many of these proposed changes. Steve Jones, Director of Valuation at Leasehold Valuers (part of the Leasehold Group) explains:

“We are concerned that the government’s commitment or ability to abolish “prohibitive costs like ‘marriage value’”, i.e., the additional amount paid to a freeholder when a lease falls below 80 years, is not explained in any detail. However, this will represent losses of billions of pounds worth of income for freeholders – and they are unlikely to give this up without a fight.”

With the considerable loss of ground rent income for freeholders, it is only to be expected that they will somehow seek to claw back income from their investment portfolios in other ways, perhaps by influencing the algorithms agreed in the proposed online calculator, which is very likely to see deferment and capitalisation rates manipulated towards the favour of freeholders. This could have dire and unpredictable consequences for leaseholders and may even see the costs of lease extensions rise in future in some cases,” Jones added.

When Will These Proposed Changes Come into Force?

The Government says legislation to set future ground rents to zero will be brought forward in the upcoming session of Parliament. The timing for any further changes such as the introduction of Commonhold Ownership has not yet been set.

Are you a freeholder who will be affected by these proposed changes? Alternatively, do these changes make leasehold properties a more attractive property investment proposition? What are your thoughts?

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One in seven London renters now behind on payments

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One in seven London tenants are in arrears. Now pressure is growing for the Government to do more than delay evictions.

The Government is coming under increasing pressure to step in to assist London’s renters after figures showed that more than one in seven tenants in the capital have fallen behind on rent during the pandemic.

A study published today by Citizens Advice found that almost half (46 per cent) of London renters have lost income during the pandemic, compared with around a third UK-wide, and 15 per cent are now in rent arrears, compared with 11 per cent nationally. The number of private renters behind on their rent has also doubled since last February.

On average rent arrears stand at £720 but for more than half of those in arrears, a grant of just £600 would get them out of debt. Without help they could be evicted and find themselves homeless.

“The relentless financial and mental strain of arrears has a significant impact on renters’ wellbeing, making them less likely to self-isolate and more likely to experience mental health problems,” warned the report.

Campaigners agree that unless the Government grasps this particular nettle, things will only get worse.

Analysis by LSE and Trust For London predicts that the number of private renters falling into arrears could increase to 700,000 nationwide by November. Since the formal eviction process takes at least six months and courts have a backlog of cases, evictions could carry on long after the pandemic is over.

Those who don’t get evicted may find themselves back with parents or moving to cheaper homes, in what LSE describes as “overcrowded and insecure conditions”.

“We’re likely to see a slow burn of evictions that will go on at least into 2022,” said Christine Whitehead, LSE’s emeritus professor of housing economics. “This will leave tenants, and sometimes their landlords, facing months of insecurity, mental stress and hardship.”

The Government announced that bailiff action against renters would be paused during the current lockdown except in the most “egregious cases”, like antisocial behaviour or extreme arrears.

However, Alicia Kennedy, director of Generation Rent, warned that this would not keep renters safe from the spectre of eviction.

“Landlords can still serve notice and courts continue to hear cases, putting pressure on renters to move out before the bailiffs arrive.”

Generation Rent calculates that more than half a million households are in rent arrears because of the pandemic. What is needed, Kennedy said, is a package of financial support. “Without further support they will get deeper into debt and face homelessness.”

Ben Beadle, chief executive of the National Residential Landlords Association, criticised the Government’s current efforts on rent arrears, which can be summed up as a series of extensions to the eviction ban since last spring.

“Kicking the can down the road just means larger debts piling up, creating a bigger problem for tenants and also for landlords,” he said. “The Government needs to provide an urgent financial package to get rent debts built due to the pandemic paid off.”

Deputy housing mayor Tom Copley is another supporter of renters. “At every stage of the pandemic, ministers have treated renters as an afterthought,” he said.

“We need the Government to provide grants for people who have rent arrears, and to abolish no-fault eviction.”

Know your rights

If you are struggling to pay your rent, try talking to your landlord or letting agent. You may be able to negotiate an affordable repayment plan with them.

Although bailiff action is halted until at least the end of the current lockdown, landlords can still begin proceedings against tenants who are in “substantial” arrears.

In most cases, if your landlord wants you out they will have to give you at least six months’ notice before launching possession proceedings against you — and there is a large backlog of court cases so there is no need to panic immediately.

It is illegal for your landlord to bully or harass you. If yours is trying to force you out, hang on to any emails or other evidence and contact the police.

Seek help from your local council and advice agencies as soon as possible to sort out your living arrangements. Shelter and Citizens Advice have help on renters’ rights, while The Money Advice service can find you free, confidential debt advice if needed.

Rent arrears repayments are piling on the pressure

As a frontline key worker, the pandemic has been particularly tough on Rudolf Bozart — and not just because he works with vulnerable elderly people.

This time last year, life was looking good. Rudolf, 27, worked as an agency carer in nursing homes and private homes and was earning enough to pay his rent and live his life.

In spring, everything changed. Rudolf had just moved to a two-bedroom £700pcm flat in Colchester, Essex, when employers cut back on agency staff and his work, which was previously regular, evaporated.

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Incredibly stressful: Rudolf’s landlord is anxious for him to repay his rent arrears but he can’t afford the extra monthly payments — nor can he afford to put down a deposit on a cheaper rental

In an “incredibly stressful” period — during which the only work he could find was making food deliveries on his bike — he racked up £2,000 in rent arrears, which his landlord is understandably anxious for him to repay.

“It is really, really difficult to manage things because carers are not getting paid enough,” Rudolf said. “At the end of every month it is a struggle.”

There is some good news for Rudolf, however. In October, he got a full-time job close to his home, which means he can pay his full rent.

But, with a take-home pay of £1,400, once his rent, bills (another £200pcm) and basic living costs are added, he doesn’t have much leeway to repay his arrears.

His landlord would like an extra £300pcm, which Rudolf said would leave him unable to buy food. He can’t move to a cheaper flat because he would need to pay three months’ rent upfront and, while he owes rent, his landlord would not repay the money he put down when he first moved in.

“I have had weeks of sleepless nights over this,” he said. “My work is already very stressful and I can’t afford to stress even more when I get home.

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Why the world is going through a property price boom

1020 MW P05 Markets

Massive monetary stimulus from central banks and governments stepping in with fiscal support have driven house prices higher around the world.

Covid-19 has pushed the global economy into the worst downturn since the Great Depression, says The Economist. During the 2008 crisis, real house prices fell by 10%, and similar pain was expected this time. Yet house prices in developed countries rose by 5% in the second quarter. In Germany, they were up by an annual 11% in August.

There are two main causes. Firstly, massive monetary stimulus from central banks has kept borrowing costs low. At the beginning of the year a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage in America carried a 3.7% annual interest rate. Today the rate is 2.9%.

Secondly, governments have stepped in with massive fiscal support. Thanks to furlough schemes and other measures, household disposable income in the G7 was “about $100bn higher” than “before the pandemic” in the second quarter. Elsewhere, such as in Spain and Japan, governments have suspended mortgage repayments and eased repayment terms respectively.

The boom is also being driven by a shortage of homes, says Nicole Friedman in The Wall Street Journal. In the US, the number of single-family homes for sale in July hit its lowest level for the month since records began in 1982. New home construction in the country has never regained its mid-2000s highs, and that structural problem is being aggravated by homeowners reluctant to move, owing to economic anxiety and fear of being infected with the virus by visiting buyers.

The most overpriced markets

Hong Kong remains the world’s most unaffordable major city. The latest UBS Global Real Estate Bubble Index, which monitors rent-to-income levels and “excessive lending”, reports that it would take 20 years for a skilled service worker in the city to save enough money to acquire a 650-square-foot apartment. The equivalent figure for London is about 15 years.

The average cost of a residential property in Hong Kong is a “staggering $1.23m”, notes Jason Hung in The Diplomat. Yet the city is becoming slightly more affordable as foreign investors pull back in response to the new national security law. Home rents fell by an annual 9.2% in August and commercial property has slipped by 30% over the past 12 months.

The UBS index shows that many European cities are overvalued, writes Diana Olick for CNBC. Munich and Frankfurt top the bubble list, while Paris and Amsterdam also look frothy. Beyond Europe, Toronto and Hong Kong are at risk of a real-estate bubble. London, Tokyo and New York are overvalued but not in bubble territory, while Chicago looks undervalued. Rents are falling in most cities, says Mark Haefele of UBS Global Wealth Management, so a “correction phase” for property prices in the world’s great metropolises could be looming.

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Commercial Investment Opportunity Agia Napa Cyprus

Anaselia Beach Resort is a luxury resort in Cyprus– Ayia Napa that was established to cater to the locals as well as visitors and tourists and also to make profit as well. We will offer our customers the ultimate place for them to have fun and relax. Our location across 300 meters of waterfront property has afforded us a vantage point over our competitors as we are located close to some of the world’s famous beaches that attract locals and visitors alike. We intend to fully utilize our location to full advantage.

Anaselia Beach Resort is a major tourist destination that intends to offer its customers several services all aimed at generating fun and relaxation. We are strategically located in an area which we intend to maximize to our benefit. Even though our core service is to ensure that all our various customers can relax and have fun as well, we intend to ensure that we create other multiple sources of income that will also generate revenue for our business. Some of the services and products that we intend to offer at Anaselia Beach Resort are;

✓ Room rentals for private and corporate individuals

✓ Sales of drinks and food

✓ Facility rental for private and corporate events (Wedding venues – Ceremony- Party)

✓ Facility rental for Conferences and Business meetings

✓ Facilities for Spa and Fitness

✓ Training

Download the Anaselia Hotel Investment Overview HERE

For further details contact
Trellows Estate Agents
cyrpus@clever-gates.77-68-54-124.plesk.page

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Cliff-edge end to Stamp Duty Holiday will not hurt market, says analyst

Cliff-edge end to Stamp Duty Holiday will not hurt market, says analyst

One of the housing market’s senior analysts says the end of the stamp duty holiday on March 31 would not be the chaotic cliff-edge that some suggest.

Anthony Codling, founder of PropTech platform Twindig and a widely respected analyst formerly at Jefferies investment consultancy, makes his statement in a blog on his website.

He says the housing industry is now split into ‘extenders’ who want the March 31 deadline pushed out, or at least the ending of then holiday to be phased; and then there are ‘enders’ who think that the holiday may have been a bad idea to begin with, and who in any case want it out of the way as scheduled at the end of March.

There is also a third camp – he calls supporters of this ‘exterminators’ – who want stamp duty to be abolished in its entirely anyway. There Daily Telegraph this week launched a campaign which wants the current holiday extended as part of a wider programme to scrap the SDLT completely.

Codling’s analysis comes as the online petition calling for the stamp duty holiday to be extended hits 93,000 signatures – well on its way to the 100,000 mark at which point the government is obliged to consider a debate on the subject.

In what Codling calls his ‘Stamp Duty Holiday Fact Check’, he sets out some interesting facts and figures.

“For a house costing £200,000, the saving is £1,500 and for the average UK house price, which according to Nationwide was £230,920 in December 2020 the Stamp Duty Holiday saving would be £2,120 or less than 1% (0.92%) of the purchase price.

“…The [maximum]£15,000 saving is often the figure which gets the headlines, but for most, the Stamp Duty Holiday saving will be considerably less … We can see that housing transactions are clustered around the £175,000 price point.”

Codling goes on to say that just over 15 per cent of housing transactions occur at or below £125,000 and therefore do not incur stamp duty – they save nothing, whether the holiday ends on March 321 or is extended in some form.

And 50 per cent of transactions are at price points below £235,000 meaning they save less than £2,200 in stamp duty.

“Just under 12 per cent of housing transactions will save the maximum £15,000, which is at most a saving of three per cent of the purchase price. With the saving capped at £15,000 as the purchase price rises above £500,000 the relative saving decreases.”

Codling says that buying a home is much more of an emotional decision than a financial one – buyers will find it hard to walk away, whether they have or have not secured what he claims to be a relatively small SDLT benefit.

“I appreciate that cash is cash, but will 50 per cent of the housing transactions fall through because of a change in costs or sales price of less than £2,200 (a swing of less than one per cent of the house price)”?

He goes on to ask other key questions: “Would those who need to sell cut off their nose to spite the face? Would they rather have no money in the bank than 99 per cent (or at worst 97 per cent) of what they asked for?

Then he comes to his conclusion – “In our view, the extenders view of chaos and bedlam do not pass the sniff test.”

He concludes by saying that while many would be sympathetic to the ‘scrap all stamp duty’ campaign – “raise your hand if you would like to pay less tax” – Codling believes that a government faced with recovering from Coronavirus needs to get tax somehow…so why not SDLT?

He puts it this way: “Should we not be pulling together with those of us who can pay helping out those who can’t, those who have been hit hardest by the full economic force of the Covid pandemic and don’t have the luxury of choice of moving home?”

You can see his full blog here, complete with graphs.

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Campaign to extend SDLT holiday nears landmark total

Campaign to extend SDLT holiday nears landmark total

The online petition calling for an extension to the stamp duty holiday is set to pass 100,000 signatures today.

This means the government will be obliged to consider holding a debate on the subject of the petition.

The petition – which you can see here – was started in October by a buyer wanting a new home.

It has been actively promoted by agents, buyers, solicitors, mortgage lenders and surveyors.

Jonathan Steel’s new build home is scheduled to complete at the start of March.

But if the build is delayed past March 31 – the current stamp duty holiday deadline – he says his dream home will be unaffordable.

“I will not be able to afford the stamp duty so will not be able to afford the house” he says, explaining how his petition came about.

Chancellor Rishi Sunak is under pressure to announce an extension with many senior industry figures – including TV property expert Phil Spencer – predicting mayhem and soaring fall throughs if the holiday ends in a so-called cliff edge deadline.

The need to consider holding a debate on the issue, as a result of the petition, will add to that pressure.

“The COVID-19 pandemic and subsequent lockdown caused uncertainty for those buying and selling residential property and property transactions fell by as much as 50% during the first national lockdown.

“To stimulate immediate momentum in the property market and to support the jobs of people whose employment relied on custom from the property industry, the government decided to introduce a temporary Stamp Duty Land Tax (SDLT) relief. This relief increased the starting threshold of residential SDLT from £125,000 to £500,000 from the 8 July 2020 until 31 March 2021.

“Since the relief was introduced, transactions have increased and seasonally adjusted data shows that in October 2020, transactions were 8% higher than October 2019.

“As the relief was to provide an immediate stimulus to the property market, the Government does not plan to extend this relief. SDLT is an important source of government revenue, raising several billion pounds each year to help pay for the essential services the Government provides.

“The government is committed to supporting home ownership and helping people get on and move up the housing ladder. When the SDLT Holiday ends, the Government will maintain a SDLT relief for first time buyers which increases the starting threshold of residential SDLT to £300,000 for first-time buyers that purchase a property below £500,000. In addition, a new Help to Buy scheme will be introduced from 1 April 2021. This scheme will run until March 2023.

“All tax policy is kept under review and the government considers the views it receives carefully as part of that process.”

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Housing market rebound will depend on vaccine speed and success

Housing market rebound will depend on vaccine speed and success

The speed and success of the Coronavirus vaccine programme holds the key to the housing market rebounding in the second half of the year.

That view – from Savills – comes as surveyors’ data suggests that the market is set to falter after a remarkable bull run despite Covid-19 dominating the past year.

House prices look set to dip over the next few months amid ongoing lockdown restrictions and the end of the stamp duty holiday, according to the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors.

Its latest sentiment survey shows that in December prices, sales and buyer demand all increased but at a slower pace than seen in previous months. Predictions for sales in the early part of this year are at their lowest level since April although the outlook for the year ahead remains relatively strong.

Against that background, Savills – in a trading statement to its shareholders – says: “The pace and efficacy of mass vaccination programmes and consequent reductions in lockdown and travel restrictions will dictate the rate at which transactional markets recover from here to reflect underlying demand.

“In general terms, we expect transactional activity to remain suppressed in the first half of 2021 with improvement commencing in some individual markets in the second quarter followed by progressive recovery through the second half of the year.”

The high end agency and property consultancy, which has much greater exposure to International markets and the commercial real estate sector, says its UK activities in 2020 enjoyed an “extraordinary rebound” from the end of May, predominantly in the high end regional residential markets outside London.